725  
FXUS62 KTBW 270040  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
840 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
   
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
 
- HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD  
HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 102 TO 107 DEGREES DURING EACH OF THE NEXT  
SEVERAL DAYS.  
 
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING  
WILL DEVELOP EACH DAY THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
UPDATE
 
 
ISSUED AT 839 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
 
MOST SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE  
FORECAST AREA AND QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. ONSHORE  
FLOW CONTINUES TOMORROW, WITH MORNING SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT  
EVENTUALLY SHIFT INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE FORECAST REFLECTS  
THIS WELL, SO NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED THIS EVENING.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 839 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF STORM ACTIVITY. SCATTERED  
CONVECTION WILL BE NEAR TAMPA BAY AREA SITES IN THE MORNING, SLOWLY  
SHIFTING SOUTHWARD AND INLAND THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS REMAIN  
GENERALLY WESTERLY.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 81 91 81 92 / 20 60 30 40  
FMY 78 92 79 91 / 20 20 40 60  
GIF 77 93 77 95 / 10 60 10 40  
SRQ 80 92 79 92 / 10 50 40 40  
BKV 78 93 77 94 / 40 70 20 40  
SPG 81 90 81 91 / 10 60 40 40  
 

 
 
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR MONDAY: 8  
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR TUESDAY: 4  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:  
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
UPDATE/AVIATION...CARLISLE  
 
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