025  
FNUS72 KTBW 291133  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHASS 22A...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
733 AM EDT WED JUL 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AMPLE MOISTURE AND HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA, LEADING TO  
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, WITH THE HIGHEST  
POPS ACROSS THE NATURE COAST. NO FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED  
AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL  
LEVELS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL...NO SIGNIFICANT FOG IS EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 61.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........31 51 63 71 80  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 50 50 30  
TEMP............83 87 89 88 88  
RH..............91 81 77 79 80  
20 FT WIND......W 9 W 12 W 14 W 14 W 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 21 22 22  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 4400 4800 4800 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 15 SW 15  
DISPERSION IDX..31 49 56 61 59  
LVORI...........7 5 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....54 DECREASING TO 9.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........82 80 72 75 71 74  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 40 50  
TEMP............88 85 83 82 81 80  
RH..............79 84 86 88 88 92  
20 FT WIND......W 14 W 10 SW 9 W 8 W 7 W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 17 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....3700 2200 1900 1400 900 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 14 SW 12 SW 10 SW 12 W 12  
DISPERSION IDX..54 19 13 12 8 10  
LVORI...........5 6 6 6 6 7  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE DAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 53.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........69 61 65 72 76 68  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70  
TEMP............79 79 84 86 87 86  
RH..............93 95 83 78 77 81  
20 FT WIND......W 9 W 10 W 12 W 13 W 14 W 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 18 20 22 22  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2800 3800 3700 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 15 W 12 W 13 SW 14 SW 15  
DISPERSION IDX..11 16 36 28 33 52  
LVORI...........8 8 6 4 4 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...RDAVIS  
REQUESTED BY...MELISA THOMPSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2618570.0/TBW  
.DELDT 07/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MELISA.THOMPSON@MYFWC.COM  
 
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