877  
FNUS72 KTBW 181120  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TRIPLE CREEK...CELM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
720 AM EDT TUE AUG 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT  
THIS EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BE IN CONTROL WITH WARM AND HUMID  
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MINIMAL FIRE  
CONCERNS. MOISTURE INCREASE GRADUALLY THROUGH THE WEEK AND ALONG  
WITH IT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. MOST OF IT TODAY SHOULD  
STAY NORTH OF THE I-4, BUT COVERAGE WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE  
WEEK. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE HEAT  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 52.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........9 21 21 22 19  
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 20  
TEMP............80 88 93 95 95  
RH..............94 78 63 57 57  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 8 W 10 W 13 W 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 15 17 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3200 4000 4400 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 W 10 W 12 W 13 W 14  
DISPERSION IDX..7 37 54 49 52  
LVORI...........6 3 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........28 31 40 53 43 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 10 0  
TEMP............92 87 84 81 80 80  
RH..............62 73 79 88 91 92  
20 FT WIND......W 13 W 9 W 6 W 5 W 3 W 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 12 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 900 500 500 400 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 12 W 8 W 7 W 7 W 8  
DISPERSION IDX..36 8 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN NUMEROUS  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 42 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 48  
DECREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........22 22 31 48 50 61  
WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 40 50 70 50  
TEMP............79 80 86 91 91 90  
RH..............93 93 83 72 71 69  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 7 W 8 NW 9 W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 12 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 2600 3400 3800 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 7 W 9 W 10 W 12 W 9  
DISPERSION IDX..3 7 27 46 52 43  
LVORI...........6 6 3 3 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...NICK ALFANO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2619906.0/TBW  
.DELDT 08/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALFANON@HILLSBOROUGHCOUNTY.ORG  
 
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