370  
FNUS72 KTBW 181155  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHASS 02K_03K...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
755 AM EDT TUE AUG 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT  
THIS EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BE IN CONTROL WITH WARM AND HUMID  
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MINIMAL FIRE  
CONCERNS. MOISTURE INCREASE GRADUALLY THROUGH THE WEEK AND ALONG  
WITH IT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. MOST OF IT TODAY SHOULD  
STAY NORTH OF THE I-4, BUT COVERAGE WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE  
WEEK. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE HEAT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 47.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........25 27 32 27 34  
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............81 89 92 92 93  
RH..............90 76 68 67 65  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 9 W 12 W 12 W 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 15 17 18 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2900 2900 3000 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 13 W 14 W 14 W 15  
DISPERSION IDX..9 34 48 45 48  
LVORI...........5 3 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........48 61 57 54 44 29  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 20 20 20  
TEMP............91 86 83 82 82 80  
RH..............68 80 85 88 88 90  
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 7 W 6 W 5 W 5 W 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 14 13 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 900 500 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 10 W 9 W 9 W 9 W 10  
DISPERSION IDX..34 8 5 6 6 4  
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE MORNING, THEN GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 41.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........29 42 53 53 65 61  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 70 40 40 30  
TEMP............79 80 86 90 91 91  
RH..............93 94 83 73 70 71  
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 W 7 W 8 W 10 W 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 13 14 16 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2200 2500 2600 3000  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 8 W 10 W 12 W 13 W 12  
DISPERSION IDX..4 8 22 34 39 42  
LVORI...........6 6 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...MELISA THOMPSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2619908.0/TBW  
.DELDT 08/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MELISA.THOMPSON@MYFWC.COM  
 
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