768
FXUS62 KTBW 232347
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
747 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS WILL MOVE ONSHORE
EACH MORNING AND THEN SHIFT INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
THROUGH TUESDAY.
- LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW SETS UP DURING MIDWEEK WITH A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 744 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
IT HAS BEEN MORE ACTIVE THIS AFTERNOON THAN YESTERDAY WITH SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
GUSTY WINDS AROUND 35-45 MPH WERE PRODUCED IN SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS THAT MOVED INTO THE TAMPA BAY REGION FROM THE EASTERN GULF
WATERS. SOME BENEFICIAL RAINFALL WAS ALSO OBSERVED WITH SOME AREAS
ALONG THE WEST COAST NEAR TAMPA BAY RECEIVING OVER 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL. CURRENT RADAR IS SHOWING THINGS QUIETING DOWN AND THE
LATEST HRRR GUIDANCE IS SHOWING MOSTLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. NO CHANGES
NEEDED TO CURRENT FORECAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 744 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND ONSHORE WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 KNOTS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES POSSIBLE
MID TO LATE MORNING ALONG THE COAST, MOVING INLAND THROUGH THE DAY.
WILL COVER THIS WITH VCTS STARTING AFTER 16Z FOR TPA/PIE/SRQ AND
AFTER 17Z FOR LAL/PGD/FMY/RSW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 744 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE WATERS FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY DURING MIDWEEK AND EVENTUALLY
SOUTHEAST NEXT WEEKEND. NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED AS WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN 15 KNOTS, EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 91 79 91 / 10 30 10 20
FMY 77 95 78 95 / 20 20 10 20
GIF 74 95 75 95 / 10 30 10 30
SRQ 78 92 78 92 / 20 20 10 20
BKV 73 93 73 92 / 10 30 10 40
SPG 79 90 79 90 / 10 20 10 20
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR MONDAY: 4
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR TUESDAY: 4
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...HURT
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