685
FXUS62 KTBW 250048
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
848 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS WILL MOVE ONSHORE
EACH MORNING AND THEN SHIFT INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
THROUGH TUESDAY.
- LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW SETS UP DURING MIDWEEK WITH A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 814 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
MOST OF THE CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OR PUSHED EAST THIS EVENING.
THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE CWA
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND RAIN FREE CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT.
ON TUESDAY, CONDITIONS BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO A MORE WEST TO
SOUTHWEST TO WEST DURING THE DAY BEFORE THE SEA BREEZE BEGINS TO
PUSH INLAND. THIS WILL SUPPORT SOME SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST EARLY
WITH MOST OF THE IT DEVELOPING INLAND EVEN THOUGH DRIER AIR MAY
LIMIT STORM COVERAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S,
BUT DRIER AIR WILL HELP TO KEEP HEAT INDICES AROUND 100.
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AS IT REMAINS ON TRACK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 814 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN
PLACE. WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE LATE MORNING TO
EARLY AFTERNOON WHEN RAIN CHANCES INCREASE. POCKETS OF DRIER AIR
MAY LIMIT SHOWERS AND STORM COVERAGE, SO A PROB30 WAS ADDED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 90 77 92 / 10 30 10 50
FMY 77 95 77 94 / 10 30 20 80
GIF 75 95 74 94 / 10 30 20 60
SRQ 77 92 76 92 / 10 20 10 40
BKV 73 92 72 93 / 20 50 10 50
SPG 79 90 78 91 / 10 20 10 40
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR TUESDAY: 4
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR WEDNESDAY: 6
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...DELERME
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...WYNN
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