243  
FXUS62 KTBW 151108  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
708 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 706 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026  
 
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TOMORROW. HEAVY  
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY  
CONCERNS WITH STORMS THAT DEVELOP.  
 
- GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS  
BY MID-WEEK ACROSS EASTERN GULF WATERS.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 706 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026  
 
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON  
WITH A LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW. STORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP INLAND  
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DRIFTING TOWARDS THE WEST COAST IN LATE  
AFTERNOON TO THE EARLY EVENING. QUIET CONDITIONS RETURN OVERNIGHT.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
TPA 91 77 90 74 / 60 20 40 0  
FMY 92 76 91 75 / 60 30 70 20  
GIF 92 76 90 74 / 60 10 50 0  
SRQ 93 76 92 74 / 70 30 60 10  
BKV 93 74 91 71 / 60 10 20 0  
SPG 92 78 91 76 / 60 20 40 0  
 
 
 
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR TUESDAY: 2  
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR WEDNESDAY: 3  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:  
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY  
 
 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT  
THURSDAY FOR WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER  
FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.  
 
 
 
 
 
AVIATION...PEARCE  
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