776
FXUS62 KTBW 220019
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
819 PM EDT MON SEP 21 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 737 PM EDT MON SEP 21 2026
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE.
- A SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK. POTENTIAL
FOR SOME DRIER AIR BY LATE IN THE WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 737 PM EDT MON SEP 21 2026
MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS NEAR OR AT THE COAST AND SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MOVE OFFSHORE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. CALM CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT, BUT LOW CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND
INTO THE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A GRADUAL WARM UP IS EXPECTED AS
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. LOWS WILL BE A DEGREE
OR TWO WARMER, BUT AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY THE SAME.
SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN TO THE AREA LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AS IT REMAINS ON TRACK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 737 PM EDT MON SEP 21 2026
SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE WITH MOST OF THE
CONVECTION DISSIPATING ALONG THE WAY. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING OVERNIGHT
AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THERE IS A NON-ZERO CHANCE FOR
LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP GOING A FEW HOURS BEFORE SUNRISE, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH AT THIS TIME TO ADD IT TO THE
FORECAST. CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN TO TERMINALS BY
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH. INTERMITTENT MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VIS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 89 76 90 / 40 40 20 50
FMY 75 90 76 89 / 40 50 30 70
GIF 73 91 74 91 / 40 40 30 60
SRQ 75 90 76 90 / 40 40 30 50
BKV 72 91 73 91 / 30 40 20 50
SPG 76 89 77 89 / 30 40 30 50
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR TUESDAY: 6
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR WEDNESDAY: 6
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...DELERME
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...FLEMING
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page