442
FNUS72 KTBW 240650
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR SH4&7 RX BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
250 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH SLIGHTLY
BREEZY NORTH WINDS BRINGING IN DRIER AIR. SCATTERED STORMS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, THEN MAINLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FRIDAY. WHILE DRIER AIR WILL FILL IN BEHIND THE FRONT,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL NOT DROP TO CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 54.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........17 29 38 43 43
WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ SCTTRD SCTTRD
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 30 30
TEMP............74 82 86 88 85
RH..............100 84 73 67 72
20 FT WIND......N 7 N 9 N 10 N 13 N 14
20 FT WIND GUST.13 16 18 22 25
MIX HGT (FT)....800 2200 3200 3700 3700
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 15 N 14 N 14 N 16
DISPERSION IDX..11 38 54 52 57
LVORI...........7 4 3 1 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........38 26 23 17 12 12 14 18 17 25 22 29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............82 79 77 76 76 75 74 74 73 73 72 72
RH..............78 84 88 89 90 91 91 92 91 91 93 93
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..13 10 9 9 9 9 10 9 9 10 10 12
20 FT WIND GUST.26 23 20 21 20 20 21 20 18 18 18 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14
DISPERSION IDX..41 23 9 6 7 9 10 10 10 9 8 9
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36 35 29 30 17 27 30 38 41 45 59 65
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............72 71 72 76 80 83 84 85 86 85 83 81
RH..............93 93 93 89 79 72 68 64 62 64 66 70
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 14 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 14
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 22 21 21 22 22 23 24 25 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.3 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.2 3.3 3.0 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 15 14 13
DISPERSION IDX..13 19 26 35 43 50 52 52 51 52 51 47
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
FORECASTER...FLEMING
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW CUSHING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622421.0/TBW
.DELDT 09/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW.CUSHING@FDACS.GOV
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