682
FXUS62 KTBW 242359
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
759 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 759 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
- VERY LIMITED RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR WILL FILL INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 759 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
DRIER AIR FILLING INTO THE REGION KEPT RAIN COVERAGE LIMITED
TODAY, WITH JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS PUSHING INTO THE INTERIOR AND
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE AFTERNOON. EARLY EVENING
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING DEW POINTS HAVE ALREADY DROPPED
INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S OVER PARTS OF THE NATURE COAST, AND THIS
DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR IS ON TRACK TO CONTINUE FILTERING
SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH MAINLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH COOLER MORNING TEMPERATURES. NO CHANGES
PLANNED FOR THE EVENING UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 759 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
A FEW PATCHES OF MVFR CEILINGS ARE STILL PRESENT EARLY THIS
EVENING AROUND KLAL. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT MVFR OR
PATCHY IFR CEILINGS COULD RE-DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, BUT WITH DRIER AIR
MOVING INTO THE AREA, CHANCES OF REDUCED FLIGHT CATEGORIES ARE NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE TAF AT THIS TIME. ANY LOW CEILINGS
THAT DEVELOP SHOULD LIFT OUT BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 230 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATERS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, WITH EXERCISE CAUTION WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO
ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT. WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE SATURDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES REMAIN LOW WITH DRIER AIR IN PLACE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 71 86 67 86 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 73 88 69 87 / 10 0 0 0
GIF 71 87 65 87 / 0 10 0 0
SRQ 72 87 68 86 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 69 87 63 86 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 73 87 70 86 / 0 0 0 0
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR FRIDAY: 8
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SATURDAY: 2
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO
60 NM.
UPDATE/AVIATION...FLEMING
MARINE...CARLISLE
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