763
FXUS62 KTBW 260700
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
300 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 257 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- VERY LIMITED RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR WILL FILL INTO THE AREA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 257 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2026
A BEAUTIFUL DAY ON TAP TODAY THANKS TO A COOLER, DRIER AIR MASS
ADVECTING OVER THE AREA. NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A
CLOSED LOW OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL HELP KEEP THE COOLER,
DRIER AIR FILTERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MANY THIS MORNING WILL
WAKE UP TO TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S WITH A FEW NORTHERN AREAS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID 80S. LOWER
HUMIDITY TODAY WILL MAKE FOR A PLEASANT, FALL-LIKE DAY. THESE
COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS WILL HOLD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
MONDAY.
EARLY IN THE WEEK, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OFF THE EAST
COAST FLORIDA, ALLOWING FOR THE FLOW TO TURN MORE SOUTHERLY. AS THE
FLOW TURNS, MORE MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN, RAISING HUMIDITY
ONCE AGAIN. RAIN CHANCES WILL ALSO BEGIN TO GRADUALLY INCREASE EACH
DAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO INCREASE
EACH DAY, REACHING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. IN OTHER
WORDS, FALL-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY BE REPLACED BY MORE SUMMER-
LIKE CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 257 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS DRY
AIR LINGERS OVER THE AREA.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 257 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2026
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO IMPROVE AS WINDS SLOWLY
DIMINISH THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EARLY NEXT WEEK, HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA WILL BRING MORE SOUTH TO SOUTH EAST WINDS. RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE BY MID WEEK AS MOISTURE MOVES BACK OVER THE AREA.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 257 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2026
DRY AIR OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP RH VALUES LOW, WITH NORTHERN AREAS
DROPPING CLOSE TO CRITICAL LEVELS. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15MPH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 85 66 86 69 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 86 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 86 63 86 65 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 85 66 86 69 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 85 60 85 64 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 85 69 85 73 / 0 0 0 0
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SATURDAY: 8
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SUNDAY: 8
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
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