733
FXUS62 KTBW 200713
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
313 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
- A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 313 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026
WE ARE SEEING ANOTHER COOL AND DRY MORNING ACROSS THE STATE. THIS IS
DUE TO A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND A LOW PRESSURE IN THE
ATLANTIC HELPING TO FUNNEL THE COOLER AND DRIER AIR OVER FLORIDA.
THIS PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE THROUGH THURSDAY RESULTING IN THE DRY
AIR WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES STICKING AROUND. LOWS WILL BE
AROUND 60 DEGREES EVERY MORNING AND HIGHS AROUND 80'S.
BY FRIDAY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH THE STATE FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH. WITH THE DRIER AIR IN PLACE WE WILL NOT SEE ANY
NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCES AS IT DOES SO. HOWEVER ONCE IT GETS DOWN
TO THE STALL BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE KEYS IT WILL HELP TO RESTRENGTHEN
IT. THIS WILL BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS AROUND 20 MPH AND GUST UP TO 35MPH.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 313 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 313 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026
WINDS HAVE SLOWLY CALMED DOWN OVERNIGHT BUT WILL STILL STAY
ELEVATED THROUGH THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE AROUND 15 KNOT DURING
THE DAY WITH NIGHTLY SURGES CLOSER TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THURSDAY.
AFTER THAT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH THE STATE HELPING TO
PICK UP THE WINDS ONCE AGAIN. BY SATURDAY MORNING WINDS OVER THE
WATER WILL BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS CAUSING SOME HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 313 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026
DRY AIR WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY AND THE WORK WEEK
WITH GUSTY WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 82 62 83 63 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 84 65 84 67 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 83 62 84 62 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 82 64 83 65 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 81 58 82 58 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 81 65 82 66 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...SHIVELEY
DECISION SUPPORT...SHIVELEY
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...SHIVELEY
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