114
FXUS62 KTBW 221828
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
228 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS OVER THE WEEKEND.
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 223 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF
THE COUNTRY AND FLORIDA WITH RIDGING TO OUR WEST WHILE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS PARKED TO OUR NORTH AND A REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERS SOUTH OF THE STATE. THIS SETUP HAS KEPT NORTHEAST WINDS IN
PLACE WITH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, A CUTOFF LOW WILL FORM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF BEFORE OPENING UP AND LIFTING NORTHEAST AS RIDGING BUILDS BACK
IN. AT THE SURFACE, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN BETWEEN HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND THE BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH, LEADING TO
INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS ONCE AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT
WEEK. OVERALL, MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE EXCEPT FOR A FEW
SHOWERS OVER THE INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA MAINLY THIS WEEKEND
WITH THE STRONGER WINDS AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STEADY NEAR
NORMALS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 223 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A FEW
WIND GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 223 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS FOR THE NEXT WEEK.
WIND SPEEDS AROUND EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL
INCREASE TO ADVISORY CRITERIA STARTING TOMORROW NIGHT, WITH SOME
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE EXPECTED, AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 223 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 62 81 63 83 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 63 84 63 85 / 0 10 0 10
GIF 60 82 62 83 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 60 81 62 82 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 52 81 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 67 80 68 82 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page