156
FXUS62 KTBW 232354
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
754 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- BECOMING BREEZY AREAWIDE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA OVER THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 745 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
EARLY EVENING IR SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING A MAINLY DRY AIR
MASS HOLDING OVER THE FORECAST AREA, WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE AREA OUTSIDE OF SOME SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. THE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK OVERALL, WITH
NORTH AND NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUING TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK, KEEPING SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
IN PLACE. NO CHANGES PLANNED FOR THE EVENING UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 745 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL HOLD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER BREEZY
NORTHEAST WINDS.
MARINE
STRONG WINDS AND BUILDING LARGE CHOPPY SEAS WILL KEEP HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS FURTHER
WITH WIND GUSTS STRENGTHENING TO NEAR GALE FORCE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER NEXT WEEK. THE OFFSHORE WIND FLOW
WILL ALSO CAUSE TIDES TO RUN BELOW ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS AS WELL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 61 82 68 84 / 0 0 0 10
FMY 65 84 69 86 / 0 0 0 20
GIF 61 83 68 85 / 0 10 20 20
SRQ 62 82 68 85 / 0 0 0 10
BKV 59 82 67 84 / 0 10 10 10
SPG 63 81 69 83 / 0 0 0 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR CHARLOTTE
HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA
BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS
FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-TAMPA
BAY WATERS-WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20
TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20
TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL
OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
UPDATE/AVIATION...FLEMING
MARINE...DAVIS
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