451
FXUS62 KTBW 242349
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
749 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- BECOMING BREEZY AREAWIDE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA OVER THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 749 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
EARLY EVENING REGIONAL METAR OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING THE GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUING ACROSS THE AREA, ADVECTING
ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO THE INTERIOR. THIS HAS LED TO INCREASED
CLOUDINESS MOVING SOUTHWEST INTO THE FORECAST AREA, AS WELL AS
SOME ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN AND SPRINKLES, MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR.
MENTIONS OF SPRINKLES WERE ADDED TO THE FORECAST FOR PARTS OF THE
INTERIOR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST LOOKS
ON TRACK WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 749 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL HOLD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION WILL BE FOR AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF MVFR OR
PERHAPS IFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS CURRENTLY TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS
TIME. OTHERWISE, BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE.
MARINE
STRONG WINDS AND BUILDING LARGE CHOPPY SEAS WILL KEEP HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS FURTHER
WITH WIND GUSTS STRENGTHENING TO NEAR GALE FORCE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL
CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER NEXT WEEK. THE OFFSHORE WIND FLOW WILL
ALSO CAUSE TIDES TO RUN BELOW ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS AS WELL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 68 84 69 85 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 69 86 71 86 / 0 20 0 0
GIF 68 85 69 85 / 20 20 20 0
SRQ 68 85 69 85 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 67 84 67 85 / 10 0 0 0
SPG 69 83 70 84 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR CHARLOTTE
HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA
BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS
FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-TAMPA
BAY WATERS-WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20
TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20
TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL
OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
UPDATE/AVIATION...FLEMING
MARINE...DAVIS
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