375
FNUS73 KTOP 031549
FWSTOP
SPOT FORECAST FOR TORNADO DAMAGE CLEANUP...STATE/FEDERAL OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1049 AM CDT FRI MAY 3 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN THIS EVENING AS A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS DEVELOP
AND TRACK EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. THESE STORMS GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THEY ENTER NORTHEAST KANSAS,
BUT MAY STILL CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 65 MPH. TIME OF ARRIVAL IS CURRENTLY
BETWEEN 1 AM AND 4 AM FOR WESTMORELAND. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END BY MID-MORNING
SATURDAY WITH QUIET AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND. NORTH WINDS MAY BE OF SOME
CONCERN SATURDAY AFTERNOON, GUSTING UP TO 25 MPH AT TIMES.
SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS ANOTHER BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE IN STORMS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE STATE WITH LESSER
CERTAINTY ON EXACT AREA AND LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED. BASED ON THE ENVIRONMENT, ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE SEVERE WITH ALL HAZARDS POSSIBLE. SOUTH WINDS INCREASE INTO
THE AFTERNOON FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............63 66 68 70 73 74 74
RH..............59 52 49 47 46 48 51
SURFACE WND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE
SURFACE WND SPD.10 12 12 13 13 13 12
SURFACE WND GST.13 16 17 18 18 18 17
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 10 TO 11 MPH AFTER 3 AM SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 30 50 90
TEMP............75 70 66 65 64 60
RH..............52 65 77 80 85 86
SURFACE WIND....SE 12 SE 11 SE 11 SE 10 S 10 NW 11
SURFACE WND GST.17 17 17 17 14 17
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING
SUNNY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH BECOMING AROUND 12 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 40 10
TEMP............59 54 59 64
RH..............82 90 75 60
SURFACE WIND....NW 10G16 N 13G20 N 13G21 N 13G20
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
14 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH.
FORECASTER...PRIETO
REQUESTED BY...J.D. MERSMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 2413096.0/TOP
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JD.MERSMAN@KS.GOV
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