137
FNUS73 KTOP 221347
FWSTOP
SPOT FORECAST FOR GILLIGANS PRAIRIE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
847 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE DANGER WILL BE LOW TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE
AREA OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN WILL BE AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON,
WITH SOUTH WINDS RANGING FROM 10 TO 20 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY THE EVENING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4800 FT
AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /27900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /100900 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............67 71 74 76 77 79 79 79
RH..............61 53 46 43 42 41 41 42
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 16 17 16 16 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.22 23 23 25 23 23 23 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.3 4.8 3.9
SDSPL KT-FT/100028 37 54 70 78 91 101 79
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (49300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 40 40 40 20
TEMP............77 71 65 61 60 58
RH..............47 59 73 84 84 90
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..13 9 8 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.21 16 14 12 13 11
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 500 500 500 500 400
SDSPL KT-FT/100049 8 6 5 5 5
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
DAY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (55500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 60
TEMP............55 61 70 75
RH..............96 84 68 60
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST.9 15 16 15
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2200 3900
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 10 31 55
FORECASTER...TEEFEY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID SPENCER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511312.0/TOP
.DELDT 04/22/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID_SPENCER@FWS.GOV
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