959
FNUS73 KTOP 061253
FWSTOP
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY BALE FIRE...LOCAL/COUNTY OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
753 AM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ARE LIGHT FROM 5 TO 8 MPH, SHIFTING TOWARDS
THE SOUTHEAST AFTER 4 PM FROM 7 TO 10 MPH. WINDS SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH
BY MONDAY MORNING FROM 5 TO 10 MPH. COVERAGE OF STORMS IN THE
AREA IS OVERALL LOW AND MOST LIKELY EAST OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. WINDS HOWEVER COULD BECOME GUSTY AND SHIFT DIRECTION WITH NEARBY
STORMS. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE UPPER 90S
WITH MAX HEAT INDEX OF 102 DEGREES IN THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES FALL FROM THE
UPPER 70 PERCENTILE THIS MORNING TO THE MID 30 PERCENTILE AFTER 1 PM.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT FORECAST START...MAX 98.
RH..................77 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 8900
FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3500 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.
MAX...EXCELLENT /79900 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
TEMP............75 79 85 89 92 95 95 97 96 95
RH..............77 68 54 45 41 38 36 34 36 36
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.4 4.8 6.8 8.9 8.9 7.7 6.3 4.5
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 5 12 38 62 80 80 77 63 45
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 74.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (6400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............94 91 86 84 83 80 80 79 78 77 77 76
RH..............38 43 50 54 57 61 64 66 68 71 72 75
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 8 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 11
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 13 14 16 18 19 20 20 19 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
SDSPL KT-FT/100032 13 9 8 6 8 9 8 8 7 7 8
LABOR DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 96.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (99100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (96200
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............75 74 75 78 83 87 90 94 94 95 95 94
RH..............77 78 75 72 61 54 46 42 42 39 39 40
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 15 15 15 14 14 15 16 18 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.9 4.7 6.6 9.7 10 7.4 6.4
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 8 9 17 27 49 75 99 135 143 119 96
FORECASTER...PRIETO
REQUESTED BY...GARRY BERGES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621317.0/TOP
.DELDT 09/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GARRY.BERGES@GEARYCOUNTY.ORG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page