764  
FNUS74 KTSA 220904  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUBBARD BURN...ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
404 AM CDT MON APR 22 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXITS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING WITH A  
RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS. SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY  
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FORECAST TO REACH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TUESDAY  
EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST  
TUESDAY EVENING/NIGHT WITH THE FRONT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45245 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (80655 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).60 INCREASING TO 66 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............56 58 61 63 64 65 66 66  
DEWPOINT........32 32 32 33 34 35 36 36  
RH..............40 37 33 32 32 33 33 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 8 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 11 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.9 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 13 15 15 17 18 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45 45 45 81 81 81 81 81  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).56 58 60 63 64 65 66 67  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............39.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (80655 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4590 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....5.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).65.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 0 1 0 1 4 2 1 1 2 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............65 64 60 58 56 55 54 52 52 51 51 50  
DEWPOINT........38 39 38 38 38 38 39 39 39 39 40 40  
RH..............37 40 44 47 51 53 57 61 61 63 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 14 14 14 12 11 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 14 13 13 13 13 12 10 10 9 10 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..81 12 12 12 12 12 12 5 5 5 5 5  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).68 68 67 67 66 65 64 64 63 63 63 62  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............43 INCREASING TO 55.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20  
TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4590 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (104918 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).64 INCREASING TO 72 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 2 3 3 7 16 17 17 30 44 57 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............51 51 53 57 62 66 69 71 72 72 73 72  
DEWPOINT........42 41 43 45 48 50 52 54 55 56 57 57  
RH..............71 68 69 64 60 56 55 55 55 57 57 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 9 12 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 14 18 20 21 21 20 19 19 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.5 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 18 23 24 25 26 26 25 23 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 79 79 79 79 79 79 105 105 105 105 105  
VENTRATE CAT....PR GD GD GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
1700FT MIX T(F).62 62 61 61 62 65 68 71 72 73 73 74  
 

 
FORECASTER...JANKOWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...JERALD MCBRIDE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411645.0/TSA  
.DELDT 04/22/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JERALD.MCBRIDE@AGRICULTURE.ARKANSAS.GOV  
 
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