749
FXUS64 KTSA 020837
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
237 AM CST MON DEC 2 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 237 AM CST MON DEC 2 2024
- COLDER TEMPERATURES ACROSS NE OK AND NW AR TODAY AND
ALL OF THE AREA TUESDAY BEHIND A DRY COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (20-40%) WEDNESDAY SE OK, AND AGAIN
FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT FOR SE OK/WC AR (20-30%).
SHORT TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 237 AM CST MON DEC 2 2024
LATEST OBSERVATION TRENDS SUGGEST ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR SOME
FREEZING FOG EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF NW AR, BUT WILL
NOT INCLUDE ANY MENTION AT THIS TIME GIVEN THE VERY LOW COVERAGE
EXPECTED.
REINFORCING PUSH OF COOLER AIR/DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY POISED
TO MOVE INTO NE OK AROUND MID MORNING. THE COOLER AIR WILL BE
SLOWER TO TRANSLATE SOUTH TODAY, THEREFORE NE OK AND NW AR WILL
THE SEE GREATER DIFFERENCES IN HIGH TEMPS TODAY(LOW TO MID 40S)
THAN THOSE OBSERVED YESTERDAY.
LONG TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 237 AM CST MON DEC 2 2024
REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES S-SE OVERNIGHT AND SETTLES
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MO TUESDAY MORNING, THUS RESULTING
IN CHILLY OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS, ESPECIALLY NE OK AND NW AR.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODIFY QUICKLY AS THE SURFACE HIGH SLIDES
OVER THE SE CONUS BY TUESDAY EVENING. WARMER TEMPERATURES STILL
ON TRACK FOR WEDNESDAY, ALONG WITH LOWER END RAIN CHANCES FOR SE
OK AS THESE LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN ON NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BETTER
MOISTURE THAT WILL BE AHEAD ANOTHER FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. ANOTHER SHOT OF COOLER AIR WILL SETTLE OVER THE
AREA THURSDAY, BUT AGAIN WILL MODIFY RELATIVELY QUICKLY AS A
WARMING TREND ENSUES FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. LOW RAIN CHANCES
RETURN TO MAINLY SE OK/WC AR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER
TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1041 PM CST SUN DEC 1 2024
SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG COULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT, BUT
IMPACTS TO TERMINALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL AT THIS TIME AND
LIMITED PRIMARILY TO MVFR VSBYS AT TIMES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION TOMORROW, BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH SOME GUSTS OF 15-20 KNOTS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NE OK SITES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS COULD
DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED.
WINDS WILL CALM AND SKIES WILL CLEAR BY EVENING AS VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAIL.
BOWLAN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 44 22 47 38 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 53 26 49 34 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 54 24 52 38 / 0 0 0 10
BVO 42 18 46 33 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 45 18 47 32 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 44 19 47 33 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 51 22 49 36 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 41 19 45 34 / 0 0 0 0
F10 51 22 51 37 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 59 28 52 36 / 0 0 0 10
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...04
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