511
FXUS64 KTSA 022012
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
212 PM CST MON DEC 2 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 155 PM CST MON DEC 2 2024
- COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT, FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER
CONDITIONS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
- LOW TO MEDIUM (30-50%) CHANCE FOR RAIN IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON )
ISSUED AT 155 PM CST MON DEC 2 2024
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATUES IN THE 40S TO THE NORTH DESPITE FULL
SUN. MUCH COOLER LOWS TONIGHT AS WINDS SUBSIDE AND SKIES REMAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR. FORECAST LOWS WILL BE SIDED MORE TOWARD
TRADITIONAL MOS VS NBM, ESPECIALLY NORTH.
LONG TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 155 PM CST MON DEC 2 2024
SURFACE HIGH MAKES A QUICK PUSH TO OUR EAST THROUGH TUESDAY
RESULTING IN RETURN TO SOUTH WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES,
TUESDAY NIGHT IN PARTICULAR WITH SOUTH COMPONENT EXPECTED TO
PERSIST OVERNIGHT. SOME GULF MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN NORTH IN THIS
PATTERN WITH INCREASING CLOUDS SPREADING INTO AREAS ALONG/SOUTH
OF I-40 PRIMARILY WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
DEVELOPING IN WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WITH SOME WEAK UPPER SUPPORT
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS COOLER TO THE SOUTH,
BUT THOSE AREAS OUTSIDE OF THIS INFLUENCE WILL BE NOTABLY WARMER
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE ARM UP WILL BE BRIEF AS THE UPPER PATTERN CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASSAGE BY THURSDAY, WITH COLDER AIR ONCE AGAIN
SPREADING SOUTH. TEMPERATURES BY FRIDAY MORNING ILL AGAIN REACH
THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S, BUT QUICK MODERATION LIKELY BY THE
WEEKEND. LOW RAIN CHANCES MAY RETURN TO PARTS OF THE AREA BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1046 AM CST MON DEC 2 2024
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE VALID
PERIOD AT ALL AREA SITES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 22 48 39 62 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 28 49 33 57 / 0 0 0 20
MLC 24 53 38 58 / 0 0 10 20
BVO 19 46 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 18 48 31 59 / 0 0 0 10
BYV 20 47 34 56 / 0 0 0 10
MKO 23 49 36 61 / 0 0 0 10
MIO 19 45 35 59 / 0 0 0 0
F10 23 50 38 62 / 0 0 0 10
HHW 30 51 36 51 / 0 0 10 60
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...10
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