381
FXUS64 KTSA 030957
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
357 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 340 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
- MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.
- LOW TO MEDIUM (30-40%) CHANCE FOR MAINLY LIGHT RAIN IN FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY.
- ANOTHER WARMUP OVER THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
AFTER A VERY CHILLY START THIS MORNING, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO
MODERATE BY THIS AFTERNOON AS SOUTH WINDS RETURN. AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
LONG TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE IN MOST PLACES WEDNESDAY JUST
AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO THE RED RIVER,
WHERE CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WILL HOLD TEMPERATURES DOWN
WEDNESDAY. SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA,
AND A RUMBLE OF THUNDER CANNOT TOTALLY BE RULED OUT. FARTHER TO
THE NORTH, ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SOAR WELL
ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGES. IT WOULD BE NO SURPRISE IF SOME
READINGS SOAR SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE THE CURRENT FORECAST, BUT WILL
STAY SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE FOR NOW DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES ON HOW FAR
NORTH ANY CLOUDINESS WILL SPREAD WEDNESDAY.
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT, BEFORE A ROBUST WARMING TREND BEGINS
FRIDAY AND PEAKS OVER THE WEEKEND. WILL KEEP LOW POPS FRIDAY NIGHT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FOR NOW, BUT TRENDS IN THE LATEST DATA
SUGGEST PRECIPITATION IS RATHER UNLIKELY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
THE WARMUP OVER THE WEEKEND AGAIN MAY BE EVEN MORE STOUT THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST, BUT UNCERTAINTIES ON CLOUDINESS, ESPECIALLY BY
SUNDAY, PRECLUDE A WARMER FORECAST AT THIS TIME. RAIN CHANCES WILL
RETURN TO SOME PLACES BY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM APPROACHES. A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL THEN OCCUR EARLY
NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY HIGHLY UNCERTAIN
DEPENDING ON FRONTAL TIMING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CST MON DEC 2 2024
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY DURING THE DAY
TOMORROW. WINDS WILL STAY UP AROUND 10KNOTS DURING THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NE OK SITES. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL WITH SKIES REMAINING MOSTLY CLEAR
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
BOWLAN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 48 43 64 28 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 49 35 59 32 / 0 0 10 0
MLC 53 42 62 31 / 0 0 10 0
BVO 47 37 63 24 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 46 34 60 24 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 47 37 60 24 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 49 39 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 45 39 60 23 / 0 0 0 0
F10 51 41 65 31 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 52 39 53 37 / 0 10 40 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...04
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page