382
FXUS64 KTSA 031658
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1058 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM
SHORT TERM
(THE REST OF TODAY )
ISSUED AT 1055 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
WITH SOMEWHAT BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S NORTH OF I-40, AND THE LOWER 50S SOUTH
OF THERE. NO RAIN WILL OCCUR TODAY.
LONG TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE IN MOST PLACES WEDNESDAY JUST
AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO THE RED RIVER,
WHERE CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WILL HOLD TEMPERATURES DOWN
WEDNESDAY. SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA,
AND A RUMBLE OF THUNDER CANNOT TOTALLY BE RULED OUT. FARTHER TO
THE NORTH, ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SOAR WELL
ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGES. IT WOULD BE NO SURPRISE IF SOME
READINGS SOAR SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE THE CURRENT FORECAST, BUT WILL
STAY SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE FOR NOW DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES ON HOW FAR
NORTH ANY CLOUDINESS WILL SPREAD WEDNESDAY.
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT, BEFORE A ROBUST WARMING TREND BEGINS
FRIDAY AND PEAKS OVER THE WEEKEND. WILL KEEP LOW POPS FRIDAY NIGHT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FOR NOW, BUT TRENDS IN THE LATEST DATA
SUGGEST PRECIPITATION IS RATHER UNLIKELY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
THE WARMUP OVER THE WEEKEND AGAIN MAY BE EVEN MORE STOUT THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST, BUT UNCERTAINTIES ON CLOUDINESS, ESPECIALLY BY
SUNDAY, PRECLUDE A WARMER FORECAST AT THIS TIME. RAIN CHANCES WILL
RETURN TO SOME PLACES BY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM APPROACHES. A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL THEN OCCUR EARLY
NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY HIGHLY UNCERTAIN
DEPENDING ON FRONTAL TIMING.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024
VFR TAF ELEMENTS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD
AT ALL SITES, THOUGH AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH
CLOUD COVER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE LATTER PORTIONS
OF THE VALID PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, WILL ADD A WS
REMARK FOR ALL SITES AFTER 04Z-06Z AND CONTINUING FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 48 43 64 28 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 49 35 59 32 / 0 0 10 0
MLC 53 42 62 31 / 0 0 10 0
BVO 47 37 63 24 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 46 34 60 24 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 47 37 60 24 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 49 39 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 45 39 60 23 / 0 0 0 0
F10 51 41 65 31 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 52 39 53 37 / 0 10 40 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...23
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