022  
FXUS64 KTSA 182023  
AFDTSA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
223 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2025  
   
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 223 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2025  
 
- LOW-MEDIUM CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW INTO THIS EVENING.  
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW HALF AN  
INCH FOR MOST LOCATIONS, THOUGH ISOLATED TOTALS UP TO AN INCH  
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  
 
- VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. COLD WEATHER  
ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY  
MORNING. ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW LATE MONDAY/MONDAY  
NIGHT.  
 
- WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(THROUGH TONIGHT )  
ISSUED AT 223 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2025  
 
LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MAINLY NE OK THIS  
AFTERNOON WITH PRECIP SHIFTING ACROSS NE OK AND INTO NW AR THIS  
EVENING. ANY MEASURABLE SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL REMAIN  
LIMITED, AND MAINLY RELEGATED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NW AR.  
ADDITIONALLY, GUSTY NORTHERLY AND THE COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED  
OVERNIGHT WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN 0 AND -5 ACROSS FAR NW  
AR OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THEREFORE A COLD WEATHER  
ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED EFFECTIVE FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 10 AM  
SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 223 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2025  
 
COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH  
TUESDAY. ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE LATER  
IN THE DAY MONDAY, ALONG WITH ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE THAT WILL  
BRING LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW ACROSS PARTS OF E OK MONDAY  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE  
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LIGHT. THE DEEP CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW  
PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO MODIFY BY LATER IN THE WEEK, AND WILL AID IN  
BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES TO THE  
AREA LATER IN THE WORK WEEK, AND NEXT WEEKEND.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1101 AM CST SAT JAN 18 2025  
 
ONGOING VFR CONDITIONS WILL LARGELY PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST  
PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND BASES LOWER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH  
LATE NIGHT, HOWEVER FLIGHT LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN VFR FOR  
MOST SITES. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW AND POSSIBLY LOWER VISIBILITIES  
AND/OR CEILINGS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF E OK / NW AR THIS  
EVENING WITH IMPACTS TO FLIGHT IMPACTS PERIODIC BEFORE RETURNING  
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
TUL 15 28 12 30 / 20 0 0 0  
FSM 19 31 14 31 / 20 0 0 0  
MLC 17 31 14 31 / 20 0 0 0  
BVO 12 27 9 28 / 10 0 0 0  
FYV 12 25 8 29 / 30 0 0 0  
BYV 13 23 9 25 / 30 0 0 0  
MKO 16 28 14 30 / 20 0 0 0  
MIO 13 23 10 26 / 20 0 0 0  
F10 16 30 15 31 / 20 0 0 0  
HHW 20 33 17 33 / 10 0 0 0  
 
 
   
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
OK...NONE.  
AR...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CST SUNDAY  
FOR ARZ001-002-010-011.  
 
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...23  
LONG TERM....23  
AVIATION...07  
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