242
FXUS64 KTSA 192019
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
219 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 209 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
- VERY COLD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
- LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
PARTS OF THE AREA LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING, WITH LITTLE
OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 219 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL RELAX, AND UNDER CLEAR SKIES WILL
RESULT IN SINGLE DIGIT LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF FAR
NE OK AND NW AR. THE LIGHT WINDS THAT ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
WILL PRECLUDE MEETING COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 PM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST TOMORROW, AHEAD
THE NEXT APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND AN UPPER WAVE THAT
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PLAINS. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT ON KEEPING ANY AMOUNTS VERY LIGHT MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ANY MENTION OF LIGHT SNOW WILL BE CONFINED
TO THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. AFTER
ANOTHER COLD DAY TUESDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP CLOSER
TO SEASONAL AVERAGES STARTING WEDNESDAY. A DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY, BUT DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE MUCH
IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE
FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND, THOUGH RAIN CHANCES MAY RETURN TO PARTS
OF THE AREA FOR THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH GUSTY WINDS TODAY DECREASING BY
SUNSET AND BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. INCREASING CLOUDS LATE
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY BUT ANY CEILINGS REMAIN WELL INTO VFR LEVELS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 11 27 10 29 / 0 10 10 0
FSM 14 30 18 30 / 0 10 10 0
MLC 12 30 13 31 / 0 10 20 0
BVO 7 25 5 29 / 0 10 10 0
FYV 5 28 9 26 / 0 10 10 0
BYV 6 23 9 24 / 0 10 10 0
MKO 13 28 13 29 / 0 10 10 0
MIO 7 23 8 26 / 0 10 10 0
F10 12 29 12 31 / 0 10 20 0
HHW 15 31 20 32 / 0 10 20 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...07
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