984
FXUS64 KTSA 071952
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
252 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
- SCATTERED STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.
- SPOTTY SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES CONTINUE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
BEFORE CLEARING OUT FRIDAY NIGHT.
- PLEASANT WEEKEND WITH LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS
MAINLY WESTERN ARKANSAS MONDAY. WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR THE OKLAHOMA/KANSAS BORDER WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL THROUGH EARLY EVENING, AND ISOLATED COLD AIR
FUNNELS MAY ALSO OCCUR.
AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS, DRIZZLE, LIGHT SHOWERS, AND LIGHT FOG WILL
ALSO REDEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE 50S.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING, WITH
ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.
THE UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, WITH SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES SHIFTING SOUTH AS WELL.
THE WEEKEND WILL BE PLEASANT ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA WITH THE
UPPER LOW FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO PROHIBIT SHOWERS AND STORMS IN OUR
AREA. THE UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST MONDAY, WHICH MAY BRING
LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS BACK TO MAINLY NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS MONDAY.
A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING, WITH A PERIOD OF HIGH-END MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. DESPITE THIS, TEMPORARY CEILING/ VSBY REDUCTIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWERS/ ISOLATED STORMS THAT IMPACT TAF SITES
THROUGH 03Z. BY 06Z, CIGS WILL BEGIN TO FALL AGAIN AND WIDESPREAD
MVFR/ IFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
THERE MAY ALSO BE A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VSBYS AGAIN
TOMORROW MORNING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR E OK AND NW AR. CONDITIONS
IMPROVE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AREAWIDE. SFC WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 55 72 55 74 / 30 30 10 10
FSM 57 75 56 75 / 20 20 10 30
MLC 54 73 55 74 / 20 10 10 30
BVO 51 73 50 74 / 30 30 10 10
FYV 52 71 51 72 / 30 50 20 30
BYV 54 71 53 71 / 40 60 20 30
MKO 54 72 54 74 / 30 30 10 30
MIO 54 71 52 72 / 30 50 20 10
F10 53 72 54 74 / 30 20 10 20
HHW 55 74 56 74 / 10 10 10 30
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...43
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page