871  
FXUS64 KTSA 271120  
AFDTSA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
620 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
ISSUED AT 233 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2025  
 
- WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN  
POSSIBLE TODAY. GENERALLY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS; NO  
ADDITIONAL FLOODING EXPECTED.  
 
- MAINSTEM RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.  
 
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THIS WEEK.  
 
- WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES RETURN LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO  
THURSDAY.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY)  
ISSUED AT 354 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025  
 
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN  
POSSIBLE TODAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA.  
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL FOR LATE MAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 354 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025  
 
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA  
WEDNESDAY, BUT MOST PLACES WILL REMAIN DRY. MORE WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE  
ACROSS THE AREA LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. WHILE SOME  
DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE ANYWHERE NEAR  
WHAT WE SAW THIS PAST WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL  
THURSDAY WITH ALL THE CLOUDS AND RAIN.  
 
A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT  
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO NEAR THE SEASONAL AVERAGES  
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTH TO THE  
WEST OF AN UPPER TROUGH TO OUR EAST AND MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. RAISED  
THE NBM POPS DURING THIS TIME FRAME, AND IF CURRENT TRENDS HOLD,  
POPS MAY NEED TO BE RAISED FURTHER IN THE COMING DAYS.  
 
AFTER A DRY SUNDAY, SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES LOOK TO RETURN DURING  
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025  
 
IFR TO LIFR CIGS/ VSBYS WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING ACROSS E OK AND  
NW AR SITES. CONDITIONS IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,  
WITH MOST SITES CLIMBING TO MVFR CATEGORY. E OK SITES, AS WELL AS  
FSM, MAY IMPROVE TO LOW-END VFR THIS EVENING BEFORE CIGS LOWER  
AGAIN TONIGHT. SHOWERS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS E OK,  
WITH ADDITIONAL ISOLATED-SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON  
FAVORING NW AR.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TUL 73 58 78 59 / 20 10 10 60  
FSM 77 61 82 63 / 20 10 10 30  
MLC 76 59 80 60 / 20 10 20 40  
BVO 72 53 77 55 / 20 10 10 60  
FYV 72 56 78 57 / 30 10 10 30  
BYV 71 56 77 59 / 30 10 10 30  
MKO 74 58 79 60 / 20 10 10 40  
MIO 69 55 76 58 / 30 10 10 50  
F10 74 58 78 59 / 20 10 10 50  
HHW 78 63 81 62 / 10 10 30 30  
 

 
   
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OK...NONE.  
AR...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...05  
LONG TERM....05  
AVIATION...43  
 
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