032
FXUS64 KTSA 271600
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1100 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 354 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2025
- WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN
POSSIBLE TODAY. GENERALLY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS; NO
ADDITIONAL FLOODING EXPECTED.
- MAINSTEM RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THIS WEEK.
- WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES RETURN LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
SATELLITE IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS AN UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER THE
SW KS/NW OK BORDER REGION THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK EAST CLOSE TO THE OK/KS BORDER THRU THE DAY. LIFT IN ADVANCE
OF THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND MAYBE A FEW
STORMS, ESPECIALLY EAST AND SOUTH WHERE MORE DAYTIME HEATING IS
POSSIBLE. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. RAIN/STORM CHANCES
SHOULD COME TO AN END THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM AND
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
LACY
SHORT TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 354 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE TODAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL FOR LATE MAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S.
LONG TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 354 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WEDNESDAY, BUT MOST PLACES WILL REMAIN DRY. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. WHILE SOME
DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE ANYWHERE NEAR
WHAT WE SAW THIS PAST WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL
THURSDAY WITH ALL THE CLOUDS AND RAIN.
A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO NEAR THE SEASONAL AVERAGES
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTH TO THE
WEST OF AN UPPER TROUGH TO OUR EAST AND MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. RAISED
THE NBM POPS DURING THIS TIME FRAME, AND IF CURRENT TRENDS HOLD,
POPS MAY NEED TO BE RAISED FURTHER IN THE COMING DAYS.
AFTER A DRY SUNDAY, SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES LOOK TO RETURN DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
IFR TO LIFR CIGS/ VSBYS WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING ACROSS E OK AND
NW AR SITES. CONDITIONS IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,
WITH MOST SITES CLIMBING TO MVFR CATEGORY. E OK SITES, AS WELL AS
FSM, MAY IMPROVE TO LOW-END VFR THIS EVENING BEFORE CIGS LOWER
AGAIN TONIGHT. SHOWERS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS E OK,
WITH ADDITIONAL ISOLATED-SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON
FAVORING NW AR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 73 58 78 59 / 20 10 10 60
FSM 77 61 82 63 / 20 10 10 30
MLC 76 59 80 60 / 30 10 20 40
BVO 71 53 77 55 / 30 10 10 60
FYV 72 56 78 57 / 40 10 10 30
BYV 69 56 77 59 / 40 10 10 30
MKO 73 58 79 60 / 30 10 10 40
MIO 69 55 76 58 / 30 10 10 50
F10 73 58 78 59 / 30 10 10 50
HHW 78 63 81 62 / 30 10 30 30
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
UPDATE...30
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...43
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