969
FXUS64 KTSA 252348
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
648 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
HEAT INDICES OF 95-105 F ACROSS THE AREA.
- DAILY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY MUCH OF
THIS WEEK.
- STORM COVERAGE MAY INCREASE LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS MAY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING WITH
MOST LOCATIONS REMAINING DRY. WARM OVERNIGHT LOWS CONTINUE.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
THE DEEP MOIST PLUME WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDS THROUGH W TX WILL BE
DRAWN EASTWARD ON THURSDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A CORRIDOR OF HIGHER
PRECIP COVERAGE EXTENDING INTO PARTS OF NE OK DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THE GENERAL PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH THE MOIST AXIS FOCUSED ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL ZONE.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS.
AN UPTICK IN SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS AND THE
INFLUENCE FROM A STRONGER WAVE PASSES TO OUR NORTH.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 648 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION WANING ACROSS NWRN AR NEXT
HOUR OR TWO, AS EXPECTED. COULD STILL BE A BRIEF IMPACT AT NWRN AR
SITES, BUT CHANCES ARE VERY LOW. VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT
FOG ACROSS NWRN AR LATE TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN THE RIVER VALLEY, BUT
POTENTIAL ALSO TOO LOW TO MENTION IN FORECASTS AT THIS TIME.
SOMETHING TO WATCH IN FUTURE FORECASTS. EXPECT SOME CUMULUS TO
DEVELOP MID/LATE MORNING THURSDAY ALL SITES, WITH AFTERNOON
CONVECTION AGAIN POSSIBLE. BEST CHANCES APPEAR TO BE IN NERN OK AS
MOIST AXIS SHIFTS SLIGHTLY EASTWARD FROM WHERE IT HAS BEEN PAST
COUPLE DAYS. POTENTIAL STILL TOO LOW TO MENTION IN FORECASTS AT THIS
TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 74 92 75 91 / 10 20 10 30
FSM 74 94 74 94 / 0 10 0 20
MLC 72 92 73 92 / 10 10 0 20
BVO 72 92 72 91 / 10 20 20 40
FYV 71 91 72 91 / 0 10 0 30
BYV 71 92 71 91 / 0 10 0 30
MKO 72 90 73 89 / 0 20 0 30
MIO 72 90 73 89 / 10 20 10 40
F10 71 90 72 89 / 10 20 0 30
HHW 71 90 72 91 / 10 10 0 10
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...69
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