152
FXUS64 KTSA 260509
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1209 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
HEAT INDICES OF 95-105 F ACROSS THE AREA.
- DAILY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY MUCH OF
THIS WEEK.
- STORM COVERAGE MAY INCREASE LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THE REST OF TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 930 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
ISOLATED SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAS DISSIPATED DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING. IN RESPONSE, PASSING HIGH CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO BE COMMON
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE CWA REMAINS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE. LIKE THE PREVIOUS COUPLE NIGHTS, LIGHT
SOUTHERLY FLOW COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HELP TO KEEP
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 70S FOR MOST OF THE CWA. FOR THE EVENING
UPDATE, HAVE ADDED MINOR DETAILS TO HOURLY TEMP/DEWPOINT TRENDS
TONIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONS. OTHERWISE, THE GOING
FORECAST CONFIGURATION REPRESENTS THE MENTIONED ABOVE AND LOOKS TO
BE ON TRACK.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
THE DEEP MOIST PLUME WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDS THROUGH W TX WILL BE
DRAWN EASTWARD ON THURSDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A CORRIDOR OF HIGHER
PRECIP COVERAGE EXTENDING INTO PARTS OF NE OK DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THE GENERAL PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH THE MOIST AXIS FOCUSED ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL ZONE.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS.
AN UPTICK IN SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS AND THE
INFLUENCE FROM A STRONGER WAVE PASSES TO OUR NORTH.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. THE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE PLUME THAT HAS BEEN WEST OF THE AREA CREEPS CLOSER TODAY,
AN BY THIS EVENING THERE COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS OR STORMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NE OK. HAVE INSERTED A PROB30 TO MENTION AT KBVO.
OTHERWISE, SAME STUFF DIFFERENT DAY. INCREASING SFC WINDS DURING
THE DAY WITH SOME GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS NE OK AND PORTIONS OF FAR
NW AR.
LACY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 92 75 91 75 / 20 10 30 10
FSM 94 74 94 74 / 10 0 20 10
MLC 92 73 92 74 / 10 0 20 10
BVO 92 72 91 71 / 20 20 40 20
FYV 91 72 91 72 / 10 0 30 10
BYV 92 71 91 72 / 10 0 30 10
MKO 90 73 89 73 / 20 0 30 10
MIO 90 73 89 72 / 20 10 40 20
F10 90 72 89 73 / 20 0 30 10
HHW 90 72 91 73 / 10 0 10 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...30
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