161
FXUS64 KTSA 281127
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
627 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH
HEAT INDICES OF 95-105 F ACROSS THE AREA.
- DAILY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED MUCH OF THE NEXT
WEEK WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND DOWNBURST WINDS THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING, AND THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND POSSIBLY EXPAND
IN COVERAGE, SO POPS WILL BE RELATIVELY HIGH ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON,
BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE MUCH MORE SPARSE THAN IT WAS FRIDAY.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN WARM INTO THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES REACHING NEAR OR ABOVE
100 DEGREES IN A FEW SPOTS.
LONG TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
DAILY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK, WITH AN UPTICK IN SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTH INTO THE AREA.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS
WITH THE STORMS. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WILL WANE DURING THE
LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK, BUT AT LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTION IS
LIKELY EACH DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR THE SEASONAL
AVERAGES, WITH MOST PLACES SEEING HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S AND
LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S EACH DAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES
WILL RANGE FROM 95 TO 105 EACH DAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS NE OK WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HOURS. OCCASIONAL
REDUCED VIS AND CIG CONCERNS WILL ACCOMPANY ANY CORES OF HEAVIER
RAIN. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AS PRECIPITATION CLEARS THIS AFTERNOON, GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
ARRIVE ACROSS NE OK WITH GUSTS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES COULD RETURN TOMORROW MORNING AS WELL, BUT
CHANCES APPEAR TO BE TOO LOW TO MENTION AT THIS POINT.
BOWLAN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 92 75 93 76 / 50 10 20 30
FSM 93 74 94 75 / 50 10 20 10
MLC 92 75 94 76 / 30 10 10 10
BVO 91 73 93 72 / 40 20 20 50
FYV 89 71 92 71 / 60 20 40 20
BYV 88 71 91 73 / 70 20 50 30
MKO 92 74 94 75 / 50 10 20 20
MIO 89 73 92 73 / 70 30 40 50
F10 92 75 93 74 / 30 10 20 20
HHW 93 74 93 75 / 10 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...04
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page