082
FLUS44 KTSA 312234
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
534 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
534 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
DAY ONE
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
THE EVENING SOUTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY BISECTING EASTERN OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY WILL ALSO CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ALONG AN ELEVATED FRONTAL ZONE. ALL OF
THIS ACTIVITY WITH BE SLOW MOVING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
DOWNBURST WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. A LOW THREAT OF WIND
GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH WILL EXIST WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING FROM EAST-
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS WITH A CONTINUED
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THREAT. STORM CHANCES WILL SHIFT TOWARD
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW STORM CHANCES
WILL PERSIST OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER ROUND
OF HIGHER STORM CHANCES IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS AN UPPER
WAVE DROPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF AN
UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED,
BUT POCKETS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK OVER THE
REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT A RETURN OF HOT AND
HUMID WEATHER AND HEAT HEADLINES BY WEDNESDAY.
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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