680
FXUS64 KTSA 121121
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
521 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 521 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
- COLD FRONT PASSES TODAY WITH BREEZY WINDS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPS. GUSTY POST FRONTAL WINDS LOCALLY RAISE FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.
- STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. SINGLE DIGIT WIND CHILL VALUES SUNDAY MORNING NORTH OF
I-40.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN VERY LOW OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY - FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1050 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND CLEAR SE
OK BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF GUSTY POST FRONTAL WINDS IS
LIKELY ESPECIALLY ACROSS NE OK INTO FAR NW AR AND THESE WINDS
COULD LOCALLY RAISE GRASSLAND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. OTHERWISE,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER TODAY WITH WINDS DECREASING AFTER
SUNSET.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1050 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
A BRIEF PERIOD OF RETURN FLOW SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT. THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR WARMER TEMPS THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST FOR LOCATIONS JUST AHEAD
OF THE FRONT AT PEAK HEATING. TEMPS WILL QUICKLY FALL WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE AS STRONG COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. COLD TEMPS ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOW 40S.
THE COLD SNAP IS SHORT LIVED WITH A WARMING TREND BEGINNING MONDAY
AND TEMPERATURES RISING WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY MID NEXT WEEK. THE
PATTERN CONTINUES TO FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LITTLE TO
NO CHANCE OF PRECIP THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD, AND LIKELY
BEYOND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS TAFS. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AREAWIDE TODAY BEFORE WINDS BECOME LIGHT
AND TREND MORE EASTERLY TONIGHT. ONLY SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED FOR AREA TERMINALS.
BOWLAN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 52 30 53 19 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 63 36 58 27 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 61 33 60 22 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 49 26 50 15 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 55 30 57 17 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 51 30 55 15 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 55 32 57 20 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 46 28 50 14 / 0 0 0 0
F10 55 30 57 19 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 65 38 59 29 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04
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