792
FXUS64 KTSA 021150
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
550 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 550 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
- SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES THIS MORNING, BUT MOST RAIN
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT. OVERALL, DRY CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK.
- FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL LIKELY INCREASES BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS, WARM TEMPERATURES, AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1036 PM CST THU JAN 1 2026
AN AREA OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AND MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE FOR THE MOST
PART. SOME CLEARING IS EXPECTED FRIDAY BEHIND THIS SYSTEM, WHICH
WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
UPPER 60S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1036 PM CST THU JAN 1 2026
A PUSH OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY QUITE A BIT OF CLOUDINESS AND PERHAPS
EVEN A SPRINKLE OR TWO. THIS WILL KNOCK TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN A
BIT CLOSER TO NORMAL SATURDAY BEFORE A WARMUP BEGINS AGAIN SUNDAY
WITH THE RETURN OF SOUTH WINDS. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE
THEN EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY MAY
RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SOMEWHAT GIVEN THE PERSISTENT DRY
WEATHER OVER THE PAST MONTH AND MINIMAL RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE AREA AROUND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK, BRINGING THE BEST CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IN QUITE SOME TIME. WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE
JUST HOW THIS SYSTEM EVOLVES OVER THE COMING DAYS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 550 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
BROKEN/OVERCAST MID AND HIGH CLOUDS EARLY IN THE PERIOD BECOME
MAINLY SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS LATE MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
BEHIND A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. SCATTERED LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS REMAIN THROUGH MID MORNING WITH THE GREATER
POTENTIAL OVER WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT, MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD BACK OVER THE
CWA, ALONG WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT. WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD VARY BETWEEN EAST AND NORTHERLY FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 62 36 52 32 / 40 0 0 0
FSM 64 44 59 33 / 60 0 0 0
MLC 68 41 57 32 / 20 10 0 0
BVO 59 31 51 27 / 20 0 0 0
FYV 62 39 52 28 / 50 0 0 0
BYV 57 40 50 29 / 40 0 0 0
MKO 65 39 55 32 / 30 0 0 0
MIO 59 34 50 29 / 20 0 0 0
F10 66 38 55 32 / 20 10 0 0
HHW 68 45 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...20
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page