189
FXUS64 KTSA 061126
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
526 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 523 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
- HIGH CONFIDENCE OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REST
OF THE WORK WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER CHANCES BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY WITH APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST MON JAN 5 2026
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO FORM
IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY AFTER MIDNIGHT, INITIALLY NEAR
THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR AND THEN SPREADING SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.
THE FOG WILL BURN OFF BY LATE MORNING TUESDAY, LEAVING BEHIND
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
AND UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST MON JAN 5 2026
AFTER A COOLER NIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH LOWS SEVERAL DEGREES
BELOW THE NBM VALUES (CLOSER TO ALL AVAILABLE MOS GUIDANCE),
ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY DESPITE
CONSIDERABLE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, WITH SOME
PLACES RECEIVING AROUND AN INCH OF MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL.
MOST OF THE RAIN WILL END BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH SOME
AFTERNOON SUNSHINE POSSIBLY HELPING TO BOOST TEMPERATURES UP NEAR
70 AGAIN IN SOME PLACES.
COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE SEASONAL
AVERAGES. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY CLIP PARTS OF THE AREA FRIDAY
EVENING BUT MOST ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN BOTH NORTH AND SOUTHEAST OF
THE AREA.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 523 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS ONGOING WITH LIFR CONDITIONS ACROSS
SEVERAL TERMINALS. EXPECT THE FOG TO PERSIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID
MORNING AND MAY BE SLOW TO CLEAR WITH SOME LEVEL OF FLIGHT IMPACT
THROUGH THE ENTIRE MORNING FOR A FEW TERMINALS. EVENTUALLY VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING. FOG MAY DEVELOP AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW
WITH WIDELY VARYING GUIDANCE. THIS FORECAST WILL INTRODUCE FOG FOR
NW AR TERMINALS WITH LATER FORECASTS ADJUSTING AS NEEDED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 69 37 69 54 / 0 0 0 80
FSM 71 38 70 53 / 0 0 0 60
MLC 71 37 71 56 / 0 0 0 70
BVO 69 29 67 49 / 0 0 0 70
FYV 71 31 69 52 / 0 0 0 70
BYV 69 35 67 53 / 0 0 0 60
MKO 69 36 69 54 / 0 0 0 70
MIO 66 34 67 52 / 0 0 0 70
F10 70 36 70 55 / 0 0 0 70
HHW 71 39 70 56 / 0 0 0 50
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR OKZ049-
053>076.
AR...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ARZ001-010-
019-020-029.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...07
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