167
FXUS64 KTSA 251742
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1142 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1140 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
- LIFE THREATENING COLD PERSISTS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR ANY
PROLONGED EXPOSURE.
- TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE AS COLD TEMPERATURES
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEEK, THOUGH SOME TEMPERATURE MODERATION
IS EXPECTED. SLEET AND SNOW PACK WILL IMPACT TEMPERATURE TRENDS
THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK.
- PATTERN BY LATE WEEK FAVORS REINFORCING COLD FRONT BUT DRY
WEATHER IS MOST LIKELY AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
LIGHT SNOW ENDING BY MID AFTERNOON ACROSS NW AR AND THE WINTER
STORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. DANGEROUSLY COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST AND EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. AREA OF LIGHT SNOW CURRENTLY ACROSS
W TX IS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WAVE THAT IS FORECAST TO DAMPEN AS
IT MOVES EASTWARD THIS EVENING. A LOW CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DOES
EXIST ACROSS SE OK OVERNIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION. A
SECOND WAVE OF LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO NW OK LATE TONIGHT ALSO
STRUGGLE TO REACH E OK WITH SCATTERED FLURRIES POSSIBLE INTO THE
DAY MONDAY. THE INCREASING CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT WILL KEEP TEMPS
FROM PLUMMETING BUT VERY COLD TEMPS ARE STILL LIKELY ESPECIALLY
WITH A PERIOD OF EARLY EVENING CLEAR SKIES.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
THE SNOW AND SLEET PACK WILL LARGELY INFLUENCE TEMPERATURE TRENDS
AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK AND THE FORECAST WILL TREND TOWARD
COLDER WITH A SLOWER MODERATION TREND. RIDGING AMPLIFIES THROUGH
THE WESTERN CONUS BY LATE WEEK WITH A REINFORCING STRONG COLD
FRONT BY LATE WEEK ENSURING TEMPS STAY BELOW NORMAL INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
LIGHT SNOW ENDING ACROSS WESTERN AR WITH VFR CONDITIONS THEN
PREVAILING AREA WIDE. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT BUT
CEILINGS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN VFR INTO MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL -2 20 4 31 / 10 0 0 0
FSM 1 22 1 31 / 10 0 0 0
MLC -1 24 0 30 / 10 0 0 0
BVO -5 19 1 28 / 10 0 0 0
FYV -6 21 3 27 / 10 0 0 0
BYV -5 19 8 35 / 10 0 0 0
MKO -3 19 2 26 / 10 0 0 0
MIO -5 17 6 28 / 10 0 0 0
F10 -3 21 3 29 / 10 0 0 0
HHW 5 24 3 34 / 10 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR OKZ049-053>076.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR OKZ069-
072-074>076.
AR...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR ARZ001-002-010-
011-019-020-029.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ001-
002-010-011-019-020-029.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...07
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