896
FXUS64 KTSA 262332
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
532 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 522 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- DANGEROUS COLD PERSISTS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ANY
PROLONGED EXPOSURE.
- TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE AS COLD TEMPERATURES
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEEK, THOUGH SOME TEMPERATURE MODERATION
IS EXPECTED. SLEET AND SNOW PACK WILL IMPACT TEMPERATURE TRENDS
THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK.
- PATTERN BY LATE WEEK FAVORS REINFORCING COLD FRONT BUT DRY
WEATHER IS MOST LIKELY AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
EXTENSIVE SNOW AND SLEET COVER NOTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH
WILL INFLUENCE TEMPERATURE TRENDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SFC
RIDGE AXIS SLIDES SE OF THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT WITH SW WINDS
RETURNING AND PERSISTING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA. WHILE THIS MAY KEEP TEMPS SLIGHTLY WARMER, THE WINDCHILL
VALUES WILL REMAIN DANGEROUSLY COLD OVERNIGHT AND EXCESSIVE COLD
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AREA WIDE ACCORDINGLY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
WEAK COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT THOUGH THE PRIMARY TEMPERATURES INFLUENCE WILL
REMAIN THE SNOW / SLEET COVER. WARM UP CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY
AND THE COMBINATION OF SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY
SUNNY DAYS WILL HELP TRAVEL CONDITIONS RECOVER.
A WEAK FAST MOVING WAVE WITHIN THE STRONG NW FLOW ALOFT WILL PASS
ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY. A SUBTLE HINT OF LIGHT PRECIP IS
SHOWN WITH THIS WAVE BUT CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE AMOUNTS AND
COVERAGE REMAINS LOW, BUT IT WILL BE A FEATURE TO WATCH FOR
POSSIBLE MINOR WINTER WEATHER. OTHERWISE, THE FOCUS WILL BE FOR
THE NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT ARRIVING LATE THURSDAY WITH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOW PROBABILITY (<20%)
OF FZFG AT KFSM OVERNIGHT. WILL EVALUATE ONE MORE CYCLE BEFORE
ADDING RESTRICTIONS. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS TO NE OK AND NW AR
TERMINALS STARTING AT 18Z TUESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 7 30 8 33 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 4 35 14 35 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 3 36 8 36 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 4 30 6 32 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 6 33 9 36 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 10 33 10 35 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 5 31 8 32 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 8 29 8 31 / 0 0 0 0
F10 5 33 8 34 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 7 37 15 36 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CST TUESDAY
FOR OKZ049-053>076.
AR...EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CST TUESDAY
FOR ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...24
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