108
FXUS64 KTSA 280452
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1052 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1025 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FREEZING FOG LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- REINFORCING COLD FRONT WITH LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION LATE
IN THE WEEK.
- VERY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING, WITH MINIMUM WIND CHILL VALUES BELOW ZERO.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT, BUT
SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE THEY WILL EVENTUALLY SCATTER FROM THE
WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND MOSTLY EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
OCCURRED GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40, WHERE CURRENT TEMP/DEW
POINT SPREADS ARE NOW JUST A FEW DEGREES, WITH A BIT DRIER
CONDITIONS PERSISTING TO THE NORTH. GIVEN LIGHT WINDS AND THE
EVENTUAL LOSS OF HIGHER CLOUDS, APPEARS THAT AT LEAST PATCHY DENSE
FOG IS LIKELY, AND WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE TEENS AND
SINGLE DIGITS, THE POTENTIAL FOR ENOUGH FREEZING FOG TO INDUCE
ADDITIONAL TRAVEL ISSUES IS HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN ADVISORY,
WHICH WILL RUN FROM 09-16Z.
WITH CONTINUED LIGHT BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW MOST OF WEDNESDAY, ANY
FOG OR LOW CLOUDS COULD TAKE SOME TIME TO DISSIPATE, BUT MOST
AREAS SHOULD EVENTUALLY SEE ENOUGH SUN TO BRING TEMPERATURES BACK
ABOVE FREEZING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED
TODAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
MILDER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH MORE CONSISTENT SOUTH
WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
ROCKIES. THIS SYSTEM MAY RESULT IN A FEW LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS MAINLY FAR NORTHEAST OK AND NORTHWEST AR THURSDAY,
BUT POPS REMAIN BELOW MENTIONABLE FOR THE MOST PART AND DO NOT
EXPECT ANY IMPACTS FROM ANY SNOW. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM LATER THURSDAY WITH COOLING EFFECTS
BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT. A MUCH MORE SUBSTANTIAL PUSH OF COLD
ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN ARRIVE BY FRIDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING
BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OR EVEN A BIT BELOW ZERO BY SATURDAY
MORNING, WITH ANTICIPATED WIND CHILLS LIKELY NECESSITATING COLD
WEATHER HEADLINES AT THAT TIME. A FEW FLURRIES ALSO LIKELY WITH
THIS COLD SURGE, BUT AGAIN NOTHING IMPACTFUL IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION.
AFTER A VERY COLD DAY SATURDAY, TEMPERATUES SHOULD BEGIN TO
MODIFY, THOUGH THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE TEMPERED EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH EXPECTED LINGERING SNOWPACK. BY NEXT TUESDAY MOIST AIR FROM
WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND RESULT IN A CHANCE OF RAIN AS AN
UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1014 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING FOG AT MAINLY MLC AND FSM CONTINUES TO BE
THE MAIN AVIATION PROBLEM, WITH HALF MILE VISIBILITIES AND IFR
CEILINGS REMAINING POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK INTO MID MORNING
WEDNESDAY. THE CHANCE REMAINS NONZERO AT TUL/RVS AND FYV/XNA/ROG
BUT IS MUCH LOWER THAN THE MLC/FSM. WILL CONTINUE WITH TEMPOS FOR
MVFR VISIBILITIES AROUND DAYBREAK AT THOSE 5 SITES, WITH BVO
REMAINING THE ONLY TERMINAL WITHOUT A VISIBILITY RESTRICTION
MENTIONED. CLEAR SKIES SHOULD BE EXPECTED ONCE THE FOG LIFTS BY
MIDDAY, CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 10 38 23 38 / 0 0 0 10
FSM 16 41 22 46 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 13 42 24 45 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 5 37 18 34 / 0 0 0 10
FYV 11 42 21 46 / 0 0 0 10
BYV 13 42 23 42 / 0 0 0 10
MKO 11 40 24 43 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 8 36 21 39 / 0 0 0 10
F10 12 40 24 43 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 20 40 26 46 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
OKZ049-053-070>076.
AR...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
ARZ019-020-029.
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...22
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