784
FXUS64 KTSA 281648
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1048 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1043 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FREEZING FOG LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- REINFORCING COLD FRONT WITH LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION LATE
IN THE WEEK.
- VERY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING, WITH MINIMUM WIND CHILL VALUES BELOW ZERO.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT, BUT
SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE THEY WILL EVENTUALLY SCATTER FROM THE
WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND MOSTLY EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
OCCURRED GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40, WHERE CURRENT TEMP/DEW
POINT SPREADS ARE NOW JUST A FEW DEGREES, WITH A BIT DRIER
CONDITIONS PERSISTING TO THE NORTH. GIVEN LIGHT WINDS AND THE
EVENTUAL LOSS OF HIGHER CLOUDS, APPEARS THAT AT LEAST PATCHY DENSE
FOG IS LIKELY, AND WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE TEENS AND
SINGLE DIGITS, THE POTENTIAL FOR ENOUGH FREEZING FOG TO INDUCE
ADDITIONAL TRAVEL ISSUES IS HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN ADVISORY,
WHICH WILL RUN FROM 09-16Z.
WITH CONTINUED LIGHT BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW MOST OF WEDNESDAY, ANY
FOG OR LOW CLOUDS COULD TAKE SOME TIME TO DISSIPATE, BUT MOST
AREAS SHOULD EVENTUALLY SEE ENOUGH SUN TO BRING TEMPERATURES BACK
ABOVE FREEZING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED
TODAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
MILDER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH MORE CONSISTENT SOUTH
WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
ROCKIES. THIS SYSTEM MAY RESULT IN A FEW LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS MAINLY FAR NORTHEAST OK AND NORTHWEST AR THURSDAY,
BUT POPS REMAIN BELOW MENTIONABLE FOR THE MOST PART AND DO NOT
EXPECT ANY IMPACTS FROM ANY SNOW. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM LATER THURSDAY WITH COOLING EFFECTS
BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT. A MUCH MORE SUBSTANTIAL PUSH OF COLD
ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN ARRIVE BY FRIDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING
BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OR EVEN A BIT BELOW ZERO BY SATURDAY
MORNING, WITH ANTICIPATED WIND CHILLS LIKELY NECESSITATING COLD
WEATHER HEADLINES AT THAT TIME. A FEW FLURRIES ALSO LIKELY WITH
THIS COLD SURGE, BUT AGAIN NOTHING IMPACTFUL IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION.
AFTER A VERY COLD DAY SATURDAY, TEMPERATUES SHOULD BEGIN TO
MODIFY, THOUGH THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE TEMPERED EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH EXPECTED LINGERING SNOWPACK. BY NEXT TUESDAY MOIST AIR FROM
WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND RESULT IN A CHANCE OF RAIN AS AN
UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1043 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WINDS. CEILINGS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, BUT THEY WILL BE
AT OR ABOVE 15 KFT. A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT INTO NORTHEAST OK
THURSDAY MORNING, SHIFTING KBVO TO ENE WIND, WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. SOME PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP,
WITH THE BEST CHANCE NEAR KMLC NEAR DAWN. CEILINGS WILL COME DOWN
IN EASTERN OK BY MID MORNING TO 5-8 KFT. A FEW SPRINKLES OR
FLURRIES COULD OCCUR IN EASTERN OK THURSDAY LATE MORNING, BUT
ACCUMULATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 22 38 16 31 / 0 10 0 10
FSM 21 45 24 38 / 0 10 10 10
MLC 25 44 20 37 / 0 0 0 10
BVO 17 35 12 29 / 0 10 0 10
FYV 22 44 18 33 / 0 10 10 10
BYV 23 42 18 30 / 0 10 10 10
MKO 24 43 18 34 / 0 10 0 10
MIO 20 37 15 28 / 0 10 10 10
F10 25 41 17 35 / 0 0 0 10
HHW 25 48 24 42 / 0 0 0 10
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...06
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