330  
FNUS74 KTSA 111650  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TALLCHIEF MANSION...OSAGE NATION WILDLAND FIRE MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
1050 AM CST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NORTHEAST WITH OF 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH WILL  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE TONIGHT, FAVORING THE SOUTHEAST WITH TIME. SKIES WILL BE  
PARTLY CLOUDY ALL DAY TODAY AND TONIGHT BUT RAIN WILL NOT OCCUR.  
RH VALUES WILL FALL FROM AROUND 40-50% NOW TO 25-30% THIS  
AFTERNOON, RECOVERING TO 75-85% TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE  
FROM NEAR 50 F AT PRESENT TO CLOSE TO 60 F THIS AFTERNOON, FALLING  
TO THE MID 30S TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............26 DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15737 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).52.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 13 14 24 13 14 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 50 54 56 58 59 57  
DEWPOINT........28 27 26 25 23 23 23  
RH..............49 41 34 30 26 25 26  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 7 7 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.3 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 8 7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 18 18 18 18 18 18  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).50 51 52 53 54 54 54  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............25.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO  
7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1967 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).55.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 37 51 53 39 33 25 37 47 45 42 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............52 48 45 43 42 39 38 37 36 36 36 35  
DEWPOINT........24 24 24 25 25 26 26 26 26 27 27 27  
RH..............33 38 43 49 51 58 61 64 66 69 69 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).54 55 55 55 55 56 56 56 56 56 56 56  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............30 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36065 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (61639 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).59.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 39 27 33 29 33 40 48 55 48 38 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 35 37 44 50 56 60 65 67 67 69 67  
DEWPOINT........29 30 31 35 38 37 37 37 38 37 38 39  
RH..............78 82 78 71 62 49 42 35 34 33 32 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 7 8 9 8 8 8 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 10 11 13 14 14 13 11 10 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.7 2.9 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 15 20 21 22 21 20 18 17 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..36 36 36 36 36 36 62 62 62 62 62 62  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).57 57 57 58 58 58 59 60 60 61 62 62  
 
 
FORECASTER...HODGES  
REQUESTED BY...ROSS WALKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602462.0/TSA  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WILDLANDFIRE@OSAGENATION-NSN.GOV  
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