878  
FNUS74 KTSA 111757  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KENWOOD 40...CHEROKEE NATION WILDLAND FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
1157 AM CST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT IGNITION TIME (NOON  
THURSDAY), WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT 15-20 MPH.  
WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT HOURS. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH THE CHANCE  
OF RAIN NEAR 5 PERCENT. RH WILL BE LOW DURING THE AFTERNOON AT  
30-40%, INCREASING TO AROUND 70% THURSDAY NIGHT. THE CHANCE OF  
RAIN WILL INCREASE FOR FRIDAY.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............31.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29508 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (44590 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).56.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 45 36 49 31 36 41 51  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 55 59 61 62 63 63 61  
DEWPOINT........29 29 29 31 32 32 33 33  
RH..............43 37 33 32 32 31 32 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 11 10 10 10 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.5 2.9 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 15 15 14 14 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..30 30 45 45 45 45 45 45  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
1700FT MIX T(F).54 54 55 56 57 58 59 59  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6557 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).58.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........40 44 46 49 44 40 35 36 36 37 37 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 57 54 52 51 50 49 48 48 47 46 45  
DEWPOINT........33 33 33 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 36  
RH..............38 41 45 48 50 54 56 59 62 65 68 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).59 59 58 58 58 57 57 57 57 57 58 58  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............38 INCREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12459 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (13114 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).60.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 42 48 54 55 56 57 62 67 72 78 85  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 46 49 52 56 60 64 66 67 67 66 65  
DEWPOINT........36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 43 44 44 45  
RH..............69 70 66 61 55 49 45 43 42 43 45 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 8 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).59 59 59 59 59 58 58 59 61 62 62 62  
 

 
FORECASTER...HODGES  
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA BAIRD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602469.0/TSA  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSHUA-BAIRD@CHEROKEE.ORG  
 
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