243  
FNUS74 KTSA 120704  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK RX BURN - MCILROY MADISON COUNTY WMA...ARKANSAS GAME AND FISH COMMISSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
104 AM CST THU FEB 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXITS THE REGION ALLOWING FOR SOUTHERLY  
WINDS AND WARMER CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............30.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18360 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (30163 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).53.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 50 38 30 38 36 38 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 53 56 59 61 62 62 60  
DEWPOINT........29 28 29 30 31 32 32 32  
RH..............46 39 35 32 32 32 32 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 11 10 10 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.8 3.0 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 10 10 8 8 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 21 30 30 30 30 30 30  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).53 52 51 52 54 56 56 56  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2622 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).57.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........36 34 32 30 37 33 36 31 37 44 46 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............57 54 51 50 48 47 46 45 45 44 44 43  
DEWPOINT........33 32 31 32 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 34  
RH..............41 42 47 51 54 54 59 61 63 66 66 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 8 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).56 56 55 55 55 55 55 56 57 58 59 60  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............36 INCREASING TO 46.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11147 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (28852 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).61.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 27 36 44 47 50 53 54 55 56 64 73  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 42 44 49 55 60 63 66 67 68 67 65  
DEWPOINT........34 35 36 38 40 42 44 45 46 46 46 47  
RH..............73 76 74 67 59 53 51 48 47 45 47 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.1 3.9 4.4 4.3 3.2 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE S S S S SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 12 12 12 12 12 29 29 29 29 29 29  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 61 61 62 62 63 63 63  
 
 
FORECASTER...JANKOWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GREGORY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602545.0/TSA  
.DELDT 02/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.GREGORY@AGFC.AR.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab OK Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page