121  
FNUS74 KTSA 120723  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK NORTH BLUE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
123 AM CST THU FEB 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM QUICKLY THIS MORNING AND REACH THE MID TO  
UPPER 60S DURING THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL FALL INTO THE  
MID 30 PERCENT RANGE, WITH STEADILY INCREASING DEWPOINTS LIMITING  
THE AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DECREASE. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL  
THROUGH THE DAY WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY AT  
THE BURN SITE ELEVATION. VERY GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS FORECAST  
FOR TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34 INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16393 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (30819 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).61.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 7 8 6 20 24 22 21 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............48 54 58 62 65 66 67 67 66  
DEWPOINT........32 33 34 35 36 37 38 38 38  
RH..............54 44 40 36 34 34 34 35 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 8 10 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.6 2.8 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 9 9 8 9 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 18 18 31 31 31 31 31 31  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 61 62 63 63 63  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............41.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2622 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).65.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........32 32 41 34 24 26 26 29 22 18 38 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............62 59 55 53 52 51 50 50 49 47 46 47  
DEWPOINT........40 41 41 42 42 42 42 41 41 40 40 40  
RH..............45 52 59 65 68 70 73 70 73 76 79 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).63 63 63 63 63 64 65 66 66 67 68 68  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 47 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12459 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (29508 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).69.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 68 62 56 57 58 59 61 64 66 71 77  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 47 49 54 60 64 68 70 71 71 70 68  
DEWPOINT........40 41 43 45 46 47 47 47 48 48 49 49  
RH..............81 78 80 70 60 54 48 45 44 44 47 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.8 3.9 3.0 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 13 13 13 13 13 30 30 30 30 30 30  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).69 69 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 69  
 
 
FORECASTER...N.MCGAVOCK  
REQUESTED BY...KORY GARRIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602511.0/TSA  
.DELDT 02/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,NOLEN.CAUDELL@USDA.GOV,JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV  
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