695  
FNUS74 KTSA 031015  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK WF GOAT AND HOLSON...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
415 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CST ON MARCH 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING, THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S,  
WITH HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE 40 TO 45 PERCENT RANGE.  
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10-15 MILES AN HOUR, WITH GUSTS  
TO 20-25 MILES AN HOUR.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............57 DECREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63606 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).67.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 38 46 39 48 32 29 21 19 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............61 64 67 69 73 75 77 78 78 77  
DEWPOINT........58 59 57 57 56 55 55 54 54 53  
RH..............92 84 70 66 55 50 47 43 43 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 23 22 21 22 22 21 21 20 19  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 10  
EYE LVL WND GST.21 23 22 21 22 22 21 21 20 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.9 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.7 3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 23 26 25 25 25 26 25 25 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..66 66 66 66 92 92 92 92 92 92  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).67 65 65 65 66 67 68 69 70 70  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............56 INCREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 23 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (28852 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (9180 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).70.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 23 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........48 59 65 68 51 41 44 52 67 68 83 61  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............74 71 69 67 66 65 65 66 65 63 63 63  
DEWPOINT........54 56 57 57 58 59 59 59 60 59 60 61  
RH..............51 60 66 71 74 81 83 80 84 87 92 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 13 14 13 13 14 17 17 18 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.18 16 14 13 14 13 13 14 17 17 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 14 12 10 15 13 14 14 13 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 29 29 29 29 29 10 10 10 10 10 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).71 71 70 70 70 70 70 69 69 69 69 69  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60 DECREASING TO 57 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN  
THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (49836 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).70.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN  
THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 78 82 86 85 83 82 79 77 74 75 77  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............62 62 62 65 67 68 69 69 70 71 70 69  
DEWPOINT........60 61 62 62 61 60 59 59 58 58 58 57  
RH..............95 99 100 90 81 76 72 70 66 64 66 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 18 18 16 14 14 16 16 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.17 18 18 18 18 16 14 14 16 16 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.3 2.5 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 16 21 22 22 21 18 16 14 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..54 54 54 54 54 54 52 52 52 52 52 52  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
1700FT MIX T(F).69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 70 71 72  
 
 
FORECASTER...PLATE  
REQUESTED BY...KORY GARRIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2604563.0/TSA  
.DELDT 03/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV,NOLEN.CAUDELL@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.WELKER@USDA.GOV.,BRICE.CHRISMAN@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,MARIO.GOMEZ@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.WENTWORTH@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV  
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