749  
FNUS74 KTSA 032237  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK WF GOAT AND HOLSON...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
437 PM CST TUE MAR 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1730 CST ON MARCH 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
INCREASING CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW HOURS, AND CONTINUING  
OVERNIGHT. RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW THIS EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT (20% CHANCE). WINDS WILL BE BREEZY OUT OF THE SOUTH  
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH OR SO. WINDS WILL  
REMAIN SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT, BUT WEAKEN AFTER DARK WITH SPEEDS  
BELOW 10 MPH. RH NEAR 50% NOW WILL RECOVER NICELY OVERNIGHT TO  
OVER 90 PERCENT.  
 
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER  
SUNRISE, SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NW AND BECOMING GUSTY FOR A FEW  
HOURS. RAIN IS LIKELY ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS ALSO POSSIBLE. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR  
ANY THUNDERSTORMS. RH WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TOMORROW DUE TO THE  
RAINS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (95081 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 5PM  
SKY (%).........25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............76  
DEWPOINT........60  
RH..............58  
20 FT WIND DIR..S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10  
20 FT WIND GUST.20  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  
EYE LVL WND GST.20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..100  
VENTRATE CAT....GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).68  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 22 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19016 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (6557 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).69.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 22 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........51 59 83 71 77 75 76 63 68 63 70 77  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............75 72 69 68 67 67 67 67 66 64 62 61  
DEWPOINT........60 60 60 61 60 60 60 61 61 61 61 61  
RH..............60 66 73 77 78 78 78 83 84 92 99 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 12 12 7 6 6 8 11 14 14 14 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.18 12 12 7 6 6 8 11 14 14 14 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 15 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 15 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 19 19 19 19 19 8 8 8 8 8 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).69 69 70 70 70 70 69 69 69 69 69 69  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............61.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 25 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (54426 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (76065 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 25 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 73 77 72 70 83 83 80 78 82 67 85  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............61 61 61 65 67 68 69 71 72 71 71 71  
DEWPOINT........61 61 61 62 63 63 62 62 62 62 61 59  
RH..............100 100 100 90 89 84 77 73 71 73 71 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 18 19 20 19 18 17 16 14 14 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.18 14 18 19 20 19 18 17 16 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.2 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 2.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S S S S S SW S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 22 24 23 24 26 25 23 17 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 57 57 57 57 57 76 76 76 76 76 76  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).69 68 68 68 67 67 67 67 68 68 69 69  
 

 
FORECASTER...D.HODGES  
REQUESTED BY...KORY GARRIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2604563.2/TSA  
.DELDT 03/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,NOLEN.CAUDELL@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.WELKER@USDA.GOV.,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,MARIO.GOMEZ@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.WENTWORTH@USDA.GOV,JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV,BRICE.CHRISMAN@USDA.GOV  
 
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