035  
FNUS74 KTSA 041135  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK HOLSON WF...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
535 AM CST WED MAR 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CST ON MARCH 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY  
INTO TONIGHT, WITH SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL  
POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 70S ARE EXPECTED, WITH  
HUMIDITY VALUES GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE 65 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE  
FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.  
VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............62 DECREASING TO 59 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41967 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).72.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........83 80 83 73 79 81 77 83 84 90  
WEATHER COV.....SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............64 68 69 69 69 71 71 71 72 70  
DEWPOINT........63 64 63 62 61 60 60 60 59 59  
RH..............97 87 80 80 76 68 67 67 64 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 18 18 17 16 14 14 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SW S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.17 18 18 18 18 17 16 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 20 22 20 23 21 20 18 21 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..47 47 47 47 56 56 56 56 56 56  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
1700FT MIX T(F).72 72 72 72 72 72 71 71 72 73  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13770 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4590 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).72.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........80 80 90 80 85 81 80 89 83 80 82 82  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............69 68 65 65 63 63 63 63 63 62 61 61  
DEWPOINT........60 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 60 60  
RH..............74 78 86 87 94 95 95 93 95 97 99 99  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 10 12 13 12 12 10 10 12 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 9 9 9 9 14 14 14 14 14 14  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).74 74 73 72 72 72 72 71 71 70 70 70  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............61.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 18  
TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42622 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (68852 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).69.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........79 87 88 89 87 85 83 76 70 63 58 54  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............60 60 62 65 67 69 70 72 73 74 74 73  
DEWPOINT........60 59 61 63 63 62 61 60 60 59 59 59  
RH..............100 98 99 93 87 80 75 67 64 59 59 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W SW SW S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.1 2.4 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 17 18 20 21 21 22 23 23 22 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..49 49 49 49 49 49 69 69 69 69 69 69  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).70 69 68 67 67 67 68 69 71 72 72 71  
 
 
FORECASTER...PLATE  
REQUESTED BY...K WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2604692.0/TSA  
.DELDT 03/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV  
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