737
FNUS74 KTSA 041136
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR OK WF GOAT AND HOLSON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
536 AM CST WED MAR 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO TONIGHT, WITH SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 70S ARE EXPECTED, WITH
HUMIDITY VALUES GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE 65 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE
FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.
VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............61 DECREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41967 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).71.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........66 88 83 79 84 73 79 81 77 83 86 90
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............64 63 65 67 69 68 68 71 70 71 71 70
DEWPOINT........62 62 63 63 62 62 60 59 59 59 58 58
RH..............93 97 95 87 77 81 76 67 68 67 64 66
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 18 18 19 18 17 17 16 16 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S SW S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 6
EYE LVL WND GST.17 18 18 18 18 19 18 17 17 16 16 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 16 20 22 21 23 21 20 18 20 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45 45 45 45 45 45 53 53 53 53 53 53
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
1700FT MIX T(F).70 70 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 72 73
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4590 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).71.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........81 81 91 83 85 83 80 87 79 80 84 82
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............68 67 64 64 63 62 62 62 62 62 61 60
DEWPOINT........60 60 60 60 61 61 61 60 61 60 60 60
RH..............75 78 87 87 94 97 97 93 95 95 99 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.12 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 10 12 12 13 12 12 12 10 12 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 7 7 7 7 7 11 11 11 11 11 11
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).73 73 72 71 71 71 71 70 70 69 69 69
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42622 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (66885 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).68.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16
MPH SHIFTING TO THE 6 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........79 87 88 89 87 84 82 76 70 63 59 54
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............60 59 61 64 66 68 70 71 72 73 73 73
DEWPOINT........60 59 61 62 62 62 61 60 59 58 58 58
RH..............100 100 100 93 87 80 74 67 64 59 59 58
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 13 13 14 14 16 16 16 16 14 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND GST.11 12 13 13 14 14 16 16 16 16 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.1 2.4 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 17 18 20 21 21 22 23 23 22 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..47 47 47 47 47 47 67 67 67 67 67 67
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT MIX T(F).69 68 67 66 66 66 67 68 70 71 71 70
FORECASTER...PLATE
REQUESTED BY...KORY GARRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2604563.3/TSA
.DELDT 03/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.WENTWORTH@USDA.GOV,MARIO.GOMEZ@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV,BRICE.CHRISMAN@USDA.GOV,KORY.GARRIE@USDA.GOV,NOLEN.CAUDELL@USDA.GOV,JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.WELKER@USDA.GOV.,JEFFREY.SANOCKI@USDA.GOV
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