421
FLUS44 KTSA 091015
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
515 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
515 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
DAY ONE
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.
DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. THE ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT A STRONG TO SEVERE STORM
OR TWO, BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY. PRECIPITATION
SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE BY LATE MORNING, WITH GUSTS
BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH, ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ADDITIONALLY, RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
FALL TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS, PARTICULARLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA, WHERE RECENT RAINS HAVE BEEN LESS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...HIGH WIND...AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON,
WITH AT LEAST A LIMITED SEVERE THREAT. LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY TO BE
THE PRIMARY HAZARD DURING THIS TIME. A BETTER CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS TUESDAY EVENING, AND BY THIS TIME THE
ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORTIVE OF ALL SEVERE HAZARDS INCLUDING LARGE
HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND TORNADOES. STORMS ARE EVENTUALLY
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO CLUSTERS OR LINEAR STRUCTURES AS THEY
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH ALL SEVERE HAZARDS
REMAINING POSSIBLE WELL AFTER DARK, ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY TO BE A CONCERN, WITH
LOCALIZED INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT
RECEIVE THE MORE PERSISTENT AND REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN.
LOW STORM CHANCES LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH
THE AREA. THIS WILL PROVIDE COOLER WEATHER THROUGH MID WEEK. BY
THIS WEEKEND, WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN AS WELL AS
PERIODICALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS AND INCREASED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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