506
FXUS64 KTSA 270453
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1153 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1143 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
- STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY WITH STRONG
NORTH WINDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ANY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK TO REMAIN LIGHT.
- WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES
AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ONCE AGAIN.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS ENTERING NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
EVENING AND WILL SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO THE DAY FRIDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE MUCH COLDER FRIDAY, WITH MOST PLACES REMAINING IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL SEE EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES
NEAR 70 PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
AFTER A CHILLY NIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW OF THE COLDER VALLEYS
FALLING TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK, A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE OVER
THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK TO NEAR 80 BY SUNDAY AND
WELL INTO THE 80S TO NEAR 90 BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
WILL ALSO PREVAIL SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WHICH WILL ONCE
AGAIN RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SIGNIFICANTLY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE THERE HAS BEEN LESS GREENUP
THUS FAR.
UNCERTAINTY INCREASES BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS
ONE OR MORE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES ATTEMPT TO MAKE THEIR WAY SOUTHEAST
INTO THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
MOST EVERY DAY FROM TUESDAY ON AND SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORM
POTENTIAL MAY EXIST ON ONE OR MORE DAYS NEXT WEEK, AS IS FAIRLY
TYPICAL MOVING INTO APRIL.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 642 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH LLWS
DEVELOPING AT ALL SITES. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA OVERNIGHT WITH INITIALLY VFR CEILINGS LOWERING TO MVFR BY
LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. A FEW SHOWERS MAY ALSO OCCUR LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON, WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING.
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL TEMPORARILY DIMINISH THIS EVENING BEFORE
INCREASING OUT OF THE NORTH FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT. GUSTS WILL REACH 25-35 KNOTS AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT INTO THE
DAY FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 51 58 36 66 / 30 30 0 0
FSM 58 67 38 67 / 10 70 10 0
MLC 56 63 41 67 / 10 40 10 0
BVO 46 60 31 66 / 50 20 0 0
FYV 51 58 34 64 / 20 70 0 0
BYV 51 55 36 63 / 40 80 0 0
MKO 53 58 38 66 / 20 50 0 0
MIO 48 55 33 64 / 60 40 0 0
F10 52 58 40 67 / 10 40 0 0
HHW 59 70 46 64 / 0 30 10 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ054>057-059>062-
064>067.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05
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