856  
FNUS74 KTSA 191643  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR VC UNIT...AR STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
1143 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SEASONAL, MOSTLY SUNNY, AND RAIN-FREE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE  
ANTICIPATED AT THE BURN SITE ON TUESDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ON  
THE BREEZY SIDE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST, WITH FREQUENT GUSTS  
AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES  
WILL RISE INTO THE MID-70S WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING  
TO NEAR 45 PERCENT DURING PEAK HEATING. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL  
STEADILY RISE AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE  
SOMEWHAT SIMILAR ON WEDNESDAY, WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES, HIGHER  
HUMIDITY, AND MORE CLOUD COVERAGE THROUGH THE DAYTIME.  
 
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............49.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (86557 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).66.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 36 39 42 40 37 35 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............64 67 69 70 72 73 73 72  
DEWPOINT........47 48 48 49 50 51 51 51  
RH..............54 51 47 46 46 47 47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 16 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.1 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 23 23 23 21 20 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..87 87 87 108 108 108 108 108  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
1700FT MIX T(F).63 64 66 68 69 70 70 70  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............50.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (108196 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4590 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).69 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........26 22 18 14 10 12 13 15 18 21 24 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............71 69 66 64 61 59 58 57 56 55 55 54  
DEWPOINT........50 50 50 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51  
RH..............48 51 55 64 70 74 77 80 83 86 88 91  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 11 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..108 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).70 69 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............53 INCREASING TO 58 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4590 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60983 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).MISSING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........32 36 40 43 47 51 55 59 56 52 49 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 54 56 60 64 67 70 72 73 74 74 74  
DEWPOINT........51 52 54 55 57 58 59 59 59 59 59 59  
RH..............93 94 92 83 78 73 69 64 61 59 59 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.8 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.1 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 14 14 13 13 14 15 16 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 43 43 43 43 43 43 61 61 61 61 61  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60  
 
 
FORECASTER...B.MEJIA  
REQUESTED BY...FRED SUTTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610744.0/TSA  
.DELDT 04/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FREDSUTTONHOBBS@GMAIL.COM  
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